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Economist Frances Donald told Bloomberg TV that a sharper Fed pivot is ahead. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementMarkets are right to price in a Federal Reserve policy pivot but should brace for a rate-cutting cycle that's sharper than expected, economist Frances Donald told Bloomberg TV. "We believe we are heading into a proper downturn that will require a proper easing cycle." So we're not exiting the period in which rate hikes become really impactful in the economy," she said.
Persons: Frances Donald, , Donald, We're, Danielle DiMartino Booth Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Manulife Investment Management
I think it makes sense to trim a little and so that's what we've done across our portfolios," he said. Also, corporate tax rates might go up as the reduction from 2017 is set to expire, Gerstner said. "We started the year expecting six rate cuts. Now we're down to maybe zero rate cuts," he said. "We want to be in the names like Nvidia that are reaccelerating, in the names like Amazon and Google and Microsoft and Snowflake that we believe are reaccelerating.
Persons: Brad Gerstner, Gerstner, you've, they're, That's, Stanley Druckenmiller, We've Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Harvard Business School, Google
The U.S. economy added 175,000 jobs overall , well below Wall Street expectations. Job growth stumbled in April, with a few previous areas of strength showing meager job additions or even losses. The slower job growth could be good news on the inflation front but will raise concerns about a broader economic slowdown. The overall picture is one of a steady labor market with disinflationary growth," Pollak continued. Job growth in transportation and warehousing also accelerated month-over-month with a gain of 21,800.
Persons: Julia Pollak, Pollak Locations: U.S
Sacconaghi has a $195 price target on shares, suggesting 15% upside from Wednesday's close. Bernstein is optimistic that the ongoing weakness in the China market "is more cyclical than structural." Oppenheimer analyst Martin Yang lowered his forecast for the current quarter ahead of the report, accounting for softer iPhone sales trends in China. Sankar has a buy rating and a price target of $220. Malik reiterated his buy rating on the stock ahead of the announcement while notching down his price target to $210 from $220.
Persons: Tesla, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, Oppenheimer, Martin Yang, Yang, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, TD Cowen's Krish Sankar, Sankar, JPMorgan's Chatterjee, Atif Malik, Malik, Cowen's Sankar Organizations: Apple, Wall Street, Huawei, Counterpoint Research, JPMorgan, Citi Locations: China, India
But Deutsche kept its $89 price target, which suggests the stock could gain just 0.6%, as of Tuesday's close. Starbucks stock hasn't logged a positive year since 2021. Bank of America's Sara Senatore maintained her buy rating and $108 price target, which implies roughly 22% potential upside — a fairly bullish aim compared with other firms. Underpinning Senatore's stance is her expectation that Starbucks' earnings growth will reaccelerate in 2025, fueled by traffic-driving initiatives, such as more menu innovation and operational improvements. JPMorgan analyst John Ivankoe kept his overweight rating but moved his price target lower to $92 from $100.
Persons: William Blair, Sharon Zackfia, Zackfia, Lauren Silberman, Deutsche, Wells, Bank of America's Sara Senatore, Laxman Narasimhan, John Ivankoe Organizations: Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, UBS, Bank of America, Bank of America's Locations: Tuesday's, U.S, China, Wells Fargo, Israel
Washington CNN —The Federal Reserve is expected to announce Wednesday that it is keeping interest rates at a quarter-century high for the sixth-straight meeting. Other Fed officials have already introduced the possibility of a rate hike, in addition to the chance of no rate cuts this year. Williams later said that another rate hike is possible if economic data warrants it. That combination eerily resembled stagflation, which triggered a broad stocks selloff on Wall Street Thursday. The threshold for a rate hike is ‘extremely high’Another interest rate hike is back in the conversation, but at the moment, it’s still not likely the Fed will do that.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Powell, John Williams, Williams, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, , can’t, it’s, Goldman Sachs, Wall, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Index, New York Fed, Bloomberg, Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, Commerce Department, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Nationwide, CNN Locations: New, Chicago, Wells Fargo
JPMorgan analyst Vivek Juneja upgraded the regional bank stock to an overweight rating from neutral, simultaneously lifting his price target to $39.50 from $37.50. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:27 a.m.: Deutsche Bank downgrades Starbucks after disappointing quarterly earnings Starbucks could feel some near-term pressure, according to Deutsche Bank. Analyst C. Stephen Tusa also raised his price target to $111 from $110, implying that shares of 3M could rally 15% from here. 3M stock has added nearly 6% so far in 2024, but the stock is still trading at an attractive valuation given the company's characteristics, Tusa said. Amongst the group, JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth has the highest price target of $240, which implies that Amazon stock could rally another 37% from here.
Persons: Vivek Juneja, Juneja, — Lisa Kailai Han, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, Lauren Silberman, Silberman, Lisa Kailai Han, Stephen Tusa, Tusa, 3M's, Morgan Stanley, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, — Lisa Kailai Han — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, Fifth, Bancorp, Logitech, 3M, Barclays, Bank of America, Amazon, Services, Wall Street, Locations: China
Investors should look to energy stocks as stubborn inflation weighs on the stock market amid growing anxiety over whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at all this year, according to Wolfe Research. "This inability to adequately tame inflation of course coincides with the reacceleration of Oil and Energy stocks over the past few months," analysts Rob Ginsberg and Read Harvey told clients in a Monday note. The Wolfe analysts said investors should take advantage of any near-term overbought consolidations and make a play for the stock to rise back into the mid $40s. Crude oil and the 10-year breakeven inflation rate, meanwhile, are both on the upswing from multiyear bases, according to the Wolfe analysts. "Needless to say, we want to keep playing Oil and Energy stocks to the upside over near – mid term, which should in turn put continued upward pressure on inflation," the Wolfe analysts said.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Read Harvey, Ginsberg, Harvey, Halliburton, EQT, Wolfe, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wolfe Research, Oil, Energy, Halliburton, EQT Corporation, HAL, Securities Locations:
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell met with the press after the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which was pretty fraught. Data centers If there is the whiff of a data center or anything in one, the stock goes higher. It's why Meta stock is a buy a tad lower as stocks tend to revisit those kinds of declines. I worry about Club stock Stanley Black & Decker for this reason, but the dividend will keep it propped up for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: what's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Powell isn't, Voltaire, Vertiv, Eaton, Meta, It's, jetsam, Darius Adamczyk, Vimal, Stanley Black, Decker, Azek, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo, Chipotle, that's, Johnson, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Mlyn Organizations: Federal, Market, Broadcom, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Travel American Express, Raytheon, GE Aerospace, Royal, AAR, Honeywell, Southwest Airlines, Housing, Stanley, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Colgate, Merck, Bristol, Myers, PepsiCo, Energy, Coterra Energy, Diamondback, drillers, CNBC Locations: California, Royal Caribbean, Delta, Devon
But strategists at the Wall Street giant aren't only watching sales and earnings growth, the latter of which is expected to rise 8% this year and 6% in 2025. Share buybacks will be the next most common use of cash, Kostin wrote. Companies will also reward shareholders through dividends, which should tick up 6% this year thanks to 8% earnings growth, according to Goldman Sachs. "The AI investment cycle among the mega-cap tech stocks will support investing for growth," Kostin wrote. Goldman SachsBelow are the 30 stocks in that basket where capex and R&D spending is at least 10% of a company's market value.
Persons: shouldn't, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, That's, It's, they'll, Stocks Organizations: Business, Corporate
Monday's analyst calls included a price target cut for one of the biggest tech companies in the world and Goldman Sachs getting bullish on an e-commerce giant ahead of earnings. Morgan Stanley cut its price target on Apple to $210 from $220, citing the potential for disappointing fiscal third-quarter guidance. 6:50 a.m.: Morgan Stanley remains bullish on Nvidia even after chipmaker's sell-off The recent slump in artificial intelligence-related stocks hasn't steered Morgan Stanley away from Nvidia . Sheridan kept his buy rating and $220 price target on Amazon, which is expected to post its earnings results on April 30. Analyst Erik Woodring reiterated his overweight rating on the tech giant but cut his price target to $210 from $220.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Joseph Moore, Moore, — Pia Singh, shouldn't, Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, Benjamin Swinburne, Swinburne, Eric Sheridan, Sheridan, Erik Woodring, Woodring, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Nvidia, NVIDIA, Bank of America, Spotify, Amazon, Services Locations: North America
Investors had lately been hoping the Fed might start easing back on policy starting in June, with three rate cuts penciled in for the year. But a robust labor market, as reflected in last week's March payrolls, and this latest consumer inflation data have pushed back that view. Markets now anticipate the first cut might come in September, with just two quarter-point reductions for the whole year. Even so, investors anticipate that markets may be able to take fewer rate cuts in stride so long as the Fed isn't actually forced to raise rates. Varghese still leans toward equities, expecting as many as three rate cuts this year, though he anticipates the first cut might not come until July now.
Persons: Federal Reserve doesn't, Stocks, isn't, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Sonu Varghese, Varghese, Powell, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Carson Group, CPI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. is going to see a reacceleration of inflation, says KKM's Jeff KilburgHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Investors may want to pick up shares in companies that can withstand a possible inflation comeback. The second quarter is off to a rough start as investors have become increasingly wary about higher-for-longer interest rates and stickier inflation. Against this market backdrop, we used the CNBC Pro Stock Screener to search for stocks with the pricing power and cost controls to handle a potential inflation reacceleration. These names have also showed reliable earnings growth during the post-pandemic inflation spike. The darling chipmaker has gross profit margin of 72.7% and high levels of earnings growth.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Brad Reback, ServiceNow's, Reback, Goldman Sachs, Arista's Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Stock, Arista Networks, Arista, Nvidia, Design Systems, Dominion Freight
Morgan Stanley thinks stocks are positioning for economic growth to stay robust. A no landing scenario means the economy will continue chugging along despite higher Federal Reserve rates. Energy is the second best-performing S & P 500 sector during that time, up 16%. He also highlighted the outperformance in broader cyclical stocks, which are closely tied to the economy. To be sure, Wilson still has a 4,500 S & P 500 target for 2024 , the second lowest on CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Materials, Energy, PMI, CNBC Pro's, Survey Locations: Friday's
Attendees walk through an expo hall during Amazon Web Services' Reinvent conference at the Venetian in Las Vegas on Nov. 29, 2022. Amazon 's cloud computing division is laying off hundreds of employees in its physical stores technology and sales and marketing units, the company confirmed Wednesday. Amazon's lucrative AWS unit has seen its sales growth decelerate in recent quarters as companies trimmed their cloud spend amid rising interest rates. The cuts to AWS' store technology team come after Amazon said it would remove cashierless checkout systems in its U.S. Fresh stores. The store technology team was moved out of Amazon's retail group and folded into its cloud computing division in 2022.
Persons: We've, we're, GeekWire Organizations: Web Services, Amazon, MGM Studios, Employees Locations: Las Vegas, U.S
Kohl's : Shares fell about 2% after the department store chain delivered a fourth-quarter earnings beat, but same-store sales declined more than expected. However, "if you own it, keep it," Jim Cramer suggested, referring to Kohl's stock. On Holding : Shares plunged 14% after the buzzy Swiss shoemaker's quarterly earnings missed estimates alongside a slightly softer-than-expected outlook. Paramount Global : Private equity firm Apollo Global Management has reached out to Paramount Global about a possible takeover or asset purchase, Axios reported Tuesday, citing two sources familiar with the matter. "If you're playing this for upside, you've got to remember we do not believe in mergers if we think the fundamentals are not good, and the fundamentals are not good" at Paramount Global, Cramer said.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Cramer, Tom Kingsbury's, Bill Brown, Mike Roman, Roman, Brown, Axios, you've Organizations: CNBC, Club, Burlington Stores, Swiss, Southwest Airlines, Boeing, L3Harris Technologies, 3M, Paramount Global, Private, Apollo Global Management, CBS
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWalmart is in the early innings of a multi-year reacceleration, says Evercore ISI’s Greg MelichEvercore ISI’s Greg Melich and Gordon Haskett’s Chuck Grom, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the bull case for Walmart.
Persons: Evercore, Greg Melich Evercore, Greg Melich, Gordon Haskett’s Chuck Grom Organizations: Walmart
Its price target of $4,380 suggests nearly 18% upside from Friday's close. "We expect numbers to reset lower (again) with the downward revision a negative catalyst for the multiple, and the margin story likely being pushed out to 2025," wrote analyst Christian Carlino. Analyst Anthony Powell accompanied the move by raising his price target to $204 from $194, implying a potential 15% rally for the stock. The investment firm upgraded the airline stock to market-perform from underperform, boosting its price target to $32 from $26. His price target of $338 per share implies upside of just 5% from Friday's close.
Persons: Bernstein, Evercore, Piper Sandler, Brian Mullan, Mullan, — Jesse Pound, Aaron Kessler, — Michelle Fox, JPMorgan downgrades Holley, Holley, Christian Carlino, Carlino, HLLY, hasn't, — Lisa Kailai Han, AvalonBay, Anthony Powell, Powell, AVB, Lisa Kailai Han, Joshua Shanker, Morgan Stanley, bullish Tesla, Tesla, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Russell Quelch, Quelch, MSCI, Arun Viswanathan, Viswanathan, Rosenblatt, Hans Mosesmann, Mosesmann, Michael Linenberg, Linenberg, David Vernon, David Raso, Raso, Assuredness, Fred Imbert, ~$ ~$ Organizations: CNBC, Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Deutsche Bank, JetBlue, Caterpillar, Foods, . Restaurant, Seaport Research, Booking Holdings Seaport Research Partners, Booking Holdings, JPMorgan, Barclays, Bank of America, AIG, of America, Tesla Network, RBC, Ball Corporation, Markets, Ball Corp, Aerospace, BAE Systems, Ball, Micro Computer, Super Micro Computer, Micro, ASM, Spirit Airlines, Bernstein, Spirit, Boeing Max, ISI, CAT Locations: Southwest, Friday's
LONDON — The U.K. economy slipped into a technical recession in the final quarter of last year, initial figures showed Thursday. Though there is no official definition of a recession, two straight quarters of negative growth is widely considered a technical recession. Across the whole of 2023, the British GDP is estimated to have increased by just 0.1%, compared to 2022. "These factors affected the performance of the services and construction sectors, which are the main drivers of the U.K. "Over the coming months, we expect inflation to fall, potentially easing the pressure on U.K. households, and supporting the recovery of the consumer-driven economy," Brookes added.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Marcus Brookes, Brookes, Neil Birrell Organizations: National Statistics, Reuters, Finance, Bank of England, Bank of England's, Quilter Investors, Premier Miton Investors Locations: British
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's an elevated risk of inflation reacceleration, says StoneX's Kathryn Rooney VeraHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: StoneX's Kathryn Rooney Vera, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Investors ought to consider the insight of top Wall Street pros as they hunt for dividend stocks with solid fundamentals. Here are three attractive dividend stocks, according to Wall Street's top experts on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. Overall, he thinks that the company offers a compelling investment opportunity, given its high dividend yield and industry-leading position that enables it to benefit from long-term telecom trends. (See EPD Insider Trading Activity on TipRanks)MPLX LPOur third dividend pick is another midstream energy player, MPLX LP (MPLX). The analyst expects a cash distribution of $3.57 per unit in 2024 and $3.84 per unit in 2025.
Persons: Wall, Ivan Feinseth, TipRanks, Selman Akyol, Akyol, EPD, Elvira Scotto, Scotto Organizations: Verizon Communications, Tigress, Verizon, Enterprise Products, Enterprise Products Partners, Enterprise, MPLX, RBC Capital Locations: unitholders
Value-investing asset manager GMO last week published a study showing that the top ten S & P 500 stocks by size have handily beaten an equal-weighted pool of the other 490 for several years now. Neither is Microsoft, a useful indicator give that it was the largest stock by market cap both in December 1999 and today. Indeed, today the stock market has done well even as expectations for the speed and depth of rate cuts this year have diminished. (Industrials are leading, the equal-weight S & P is up 19% from October and there were 204 new 52-week highs on the NYSE Friday over 24 new lows.) The S & P 500 uptrend has for weeks targeted the 5050 area, as an immediate culmination point, and it's just about there.
Persons: Morgan, Marko Kolanovic, , Janus, Stocks, it's, Alan Greenspan, Greenspan, Jerome Powell, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jurrien, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Cisco, Nasdaq, Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Fed, Netscape, Boston, NYSE Locations: Russia, It's, Orange County, Calif
"This a reacceleration of earnings," Jim Cramer said. The CNBC Investing Club's preferred cybersecurity stock is Palo Alto Networks . Pepsi shares fell nearly 3% Friday. "Going back to the office has really hurt" Pepsi, Jim said, because consumption habits have shifted away from the home toward more on-the-go situations, like buying snacks and drinks at convenience stores. "The long knives are out for Max Levchin," Jim said, referring to Affirm's CEO and co-founder.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Bitcoin, Pepsi, Max Levchin Organizations: Department of Commerce, CNBC, Palo Alto Networks, Coinbase, PepsiCo, Pepsi
Ark Invest's Cathie Wood said Wednesday she's standing by her bullish thesis on Tesla and is buying the dip in the electric vehicle company as the stock sold off. "Tesla is going through a low right now related to the cycle," Wood said on CNBC's " Last Call. " Wood has been a longtime Tesla bull as the Elon Musk company is her flagship Innovation fund (ARKK )'s second biggest holding. There is so much negative psychology in the stock right now," Wood said. They're now starting to show earnings momentum and surprises on the upside, not just revenue, but also earnings," Wood said.
Persons: Cathie Wood, Tesla, Wood, They're Organizations: Tesla, Elon Musk, Innovation
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